Thursday, December 07, 2006

If It Quacks Like a Duck...

From the Journal of Conflict Resolution, an article statistically demonstrating what is intuitively obvious - that anti-Israel views are a cover for more straightforward antisemitism. The authors used data from 5000 citizens across Europe and found that anti-Israel sentiment is an excellent predictor of anti-semitism.
The research in this article shines a different, statistical light on this question: based on a survey of 500 citizens in each of 10 European countries, the authors ask whether those individuals with extreme anti-Israel views are more likely to be anti-Semitic. Even after controlling for numerous potentially confounding factors, they find that anti-Israel sentiment consistently predicts the probability that an individual is anti-Semitic, with the likelihood of measured anti-Semitism increasing with the extent of anti-Israel sentiment observed.
Specifically, they find that 56% of people 'deeply critical of Israel' are actually antisemitic, holding views like "Jews are more willing than others to use shady practices to get what they want" . Other interesting findings: Anti-semitism seems to have no correlation with degree of contact with real jews, suggesting that it springs from ideological, not personal bases. Muslims were 7.8 times more likely than Christians to be antisemitic. Of the ten countries surveyed, the Spanish and the Swiss were most antisemitic - the Danish and Dutch were least.

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